The potentially hazardous asteroid 2024 YR4 caused consternation over the last few weeks as its odds of hitting Earth in 2032 dramatically rose. Now, those odds have plummeted to near-zero, as astronomers’ calculations of the asteroid’s path have been updated to indicate that Earth is almost certainly not in the space rock’s plans. Almost. According […]
An Asteroid Has a 1-in-63 Chance of Hitting Earth in 2032—Here’s What That Means
Odds are a funny thing. 1-in-100, for example, sounds like a long shot—until you find out it’s the chance that an asteroid will impact Earth. In a surprising—but not definitive—turn of events, early warning systems this week found that an asteroid set to swing by Earth in 2032 has a 1-in-63 chance of smashing into […]